Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 3.683537 3.918874 4.172161 4.466980 4.803262 5.178063 5.631991
2025-06-08 3.333222 3.644568 3.998094 4.435563 4.971834 5.621494 6.491489
2025-06-15 3.100809 3.464893 3.896696 4.459729 5.196506 6.164463 7.607013
2025-06-22 2.851387 3.235023 3.704368 4.340600 5.216670 6.447776 8.468975
2025-06-29 2.624484 3.010253 3.492989 4.166692 5.131835 6.564906 9.127611
2025-07-06 2.467477 2.859255 3.360117 4.079156 5.151032 6.837493 10.160270
2025-07-13 2.418132 2.840761 3.397011 4.227766 5.539975 7.797964 13.054856
2025-07-20 2.345053 2.784153 3.375355 4.286847 5.798353 8.617678 16.418677
2025-07-27 2.324201 2.794923 3.446623 4.492670 6.342816 10.216820 24.688512
2025-08-03 2.280326 2.769820 3.462702 4.612178 6.761258 11.779120 39.002859
2025-08-10 2.195678 2.681558 3.377723 4.554170 6.825554 12.501005 54.474364
2025-08-17 2.093551 2.563010 3.239297 4.391702 6.649770 12.477868 64.237344
2025-08-24 2.007416 2.470613 3.145883 4.318103 6.693411 13.314905 120.869740
2025-08-31 1.936271 2.396670 3.076588 4.281230 6.816865 14.577855 1051.025417
2025-09-07 1.882591 2.345507 3.039426 4.298792 7.075301 16.698688 NaN
2025-09-14 1.806055 2.256671 2.936657 4.184216 6.994491 17.361140 NaN
2025-09-21 1.725238 2.158100 2.812981 4.019579 6.760747 17.133480 NaN
2025-09-28 1.666386 2.090147 2.735290 3.936333 6.722858 17.981438 NaN
2025-10-05 1.654014 2.091482 2.770146 4.074250 7.307994 23.823390 NaN
2025-10-12 1.626934 2.068812 2.763399 4.128684 7.687247 30.143087 NaN
2025-10-19 1.623884 2.082845 2.819203 4.319768 8.572869 51.599105 NaN
2025-10-26 1.607368 2.074731 2.835998 4.430376 9.265439 98.427553 NaN
2025-11-02 1.567639 2.027968 2.781814 4.376307 9.335639 137.903298 NaN